UN: El Niño phenomenon could set a heat record in 2027

Heat records are expected in the coming years as the El Niño phenomenon returns with rare intensity and overlaps with the warming trend caused by human activities, the United Nations warns. Scientists forecast that 2027 has a high chance of becoming the hottest year on record, IPN reports.

The UN agency responsible for the field, the World Meteorological Organization, indicated that this phenomenon is forecast to intensify throughout 2026, generating extreme weather conditions across much of the globe. There are indications that this year ocean waters could warm by more than two degrees Celsius above average, an extremely rare event recorded only a few times since 1950.

The expected effects of a strong El Niño include major risks of drought and wildfires in Australia, Southeast Asia and South America, while the southern United States could face severe flooding. These extreme phenomena may trigger global economic instability, with previous events associated with losses of trillions of dollars due to damaged crops and disruptions to supply chains, the BBC reports.



Short-term rains, lightning and strong winds are forecast in the center and south of the country. Meteorologists have issued a yellow code of atmospheric instability, valid until 11:00 PM, IPN reports.

According to the Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring Authority, isolated amounts of precipitation could reach 45 liters per square meter, and wind gusts could reach 54-72 kilometers per hour.

In this context, the General Inspectorate for Emergency Situations recommends that citizens avoid open spaces during the storm and not take shelter under trees or near unstable objects. People are urged to disconnect electrical appliances during intense lightning and not to cross flooded road sections.

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UN: El Niño phenomenon could set a heat record in 2027

Heat records are expected in the coming years as the El Niño phenomenon returns with rare intensity and overlaps with the warming trend caused by human activities, the United Nations warns. Scientists forecast that 2027 has a high chance of becoming the hottest year on record, IPN reports.

The UN agency responsible for the field, the World Meteorological Organization, indicated that this phenomenon is forecast to intensify throughout 2026, generating extreme weather conditions across much of the globe. There are indications that this year ocean waters could warm by more than two degrees Celsius above average, an extremely rare event recorded only a few times since 1950.

The expected effects of a strong El Niño include major risks of drought and wildfires in Australia, Southeast Asia and South America, while the southern United States could face severe flooding. These extreme phenomena may trigger global economic instability, with previous events associated with losses of trillions of dollars due to damaged crops and disruptions to supply chains, the BBC reports.


Meteorologists have issued yellow and orange codes for several sectors of the Dniester and Prut rivers, due to low flow rates. The warning is valid for the period July 22-28 and also targets most of the small rivers in the country, where in some sectors even the red code has been established, reports IPN.

According to the Authority for Meteorology and Environmental Monitoring, the yellow code is established on the Naslavcea-Dubasari sector of the Nistru river, where the flow rate is 35-40% of the multiannual monthly average. On the Dubasari-Tudora sector, the orange code is in effect, with the flow rate estimated at only 25-30% of the usual values for this period.

The yellow code is valid on the Criva-Ungheni sector of the Prut River, where the water flow represents 30-40% of the multiannual monthly average. On the Ungheni-Branza sector, an orange code is instituted, with values of 25-30% of the multiannual monthly average.

The situation is similar on the smaller rivers as well. On Raut and Bac, the yellow code is in effect, as the flow is approximately 35% of the normal values. On Ciulucul Mic and Ichel, the orange code is instituted, because the flows are at a maximum of 30% of the multiannual average.

Also, a red code is in effect for the Vilia, Draghiste, Cubolta, Cainar and Botna rivers, where the flows have dropped to approximately 10% of the multi-annual monthly average values.

This journalistic material was developed by the IPN Press Agency, within the framework of the Small Grants Program for Mass Media “Community Journalism for a Healthy Environment and Green Justice”, carried out within the project “A Green Justice for a Protected Environment and Sustainable Communities in the Republic of Moldova”, implemented by AO EcoContact, with the support of Sweden. The content of this journalistic material is the sole responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of EcoContact or the donor.

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1 IANUARIE, 2025
1 IANUARIE, 2025