[Info-Prim Neo interview with political analyst Ion Tabarta] [ - Earlier, some of the politicians forecast a ‘hot autumn’ in Moldova. Are such forecasts justified?] - In general, the political life in Moldova is very tumultuous. Starting with the summer of 2010, the political temperature in Moldova reached paroxysmal levels for several times. The position and opinion of the parties as regards the ways out of the political deadlock make the situation tense. The PCRM has a certain position, the PLDM – another position, while the PDM-PL duo – a third position. The political autumn in Moldova will definitely b ‘hot’, if not ‘arid’. [ - What methods and instruments can heat things up?] - The decision that the Constitutional Court will pass on September 20 will have a significant impact on the political situation. This decision can be influenced by two aspects – legal and political. In the first case, the Constitutional Court’s appraisal will be negative as adopting the bill by an organic decision would mean violating the Constitution. As to the political aspect, the Court may approve of the bill, arguing that the situation is exceptional as the political stalemate experienced by Moldova for two years must be broken. No matter what decision the Constitutional Court takes, there will be persons satisfied and dissatisfied with it. [ - Who is interested in making the situated heated and what goals are pursued?] - Regardless of the Court’s decision, things in the Moldovan political sector will be heated. The reconfirmation of Zinaida Greceanyi as the Communists’ candidate for the presidency is a test of the attempt to elect the head of state as a result of the tacit contacts between the PCRM and PLDM. At the same time, it is a move aimed at holding the ruling alliance at bay. In such a situation, the Constitutional Court’s decision of September 20 will be very important. If it is negative, there may be called early legislative elections. The early elections can be avoided if the ruling alliance’s candidate for the post of President is changed and a number of Communist MPs, including Igor Dodon, give their votes. If the Court’s appraisal is positive, the possibility of electing the head of state will increase significantly. There would reappear the possibility of forming a PCRM-PDM alliance, which seems the most possible future government coalition. [ - What effects will the tense situation have? Will the head of state be elected in Parliament or we will have early elections? What other scenarios are possible?] - This autumn we may witness the denouement of the situated created after the April 5, 2009 parliamentary elections, i.e. the presidential crisis. But the present situation may persist and we would have early elections. The leaders of the governing alliance want the stalemate to end, but have different views on the method of electing the head of state and on the candidate who can be elected President. The Communists want to preserve the situation and obtain an advantageous position before the possible early elections. It is not excluded that the head of state will be elected, but it will happen with the participation of the Communist lawmakers and there would be created a government coalition involving the PCRM. [Valeriu Vasilica, Info-Prim Neo]