PCRM risks remaining alone, political analyst

If the Alliance for European Integration (AEI) overcomes the rivalries that became prominent and has a decent, democratic behavior, the PCRM will fall into a decline after the 2010 early elections, considers political analyst Igor Botan, the head of the Association for Participative Democracy (ADEPT). According to Botan, even if the PCRM showed that it is a united party as none of its members took part in the December 7 vote, it risks remaining alone because it does not want allies, Info-Prim Neo reports. It was said that a group of Communist MPs was ready to vote for Marian Lupu, but it did not happen so because the party discipline was imposed. However, Igor Botan said that was an irony as the stronger the PCRM shows itself, the more it contributes to the viability of the AEI. “I can say that the time ahead will be interesting. We can witness a war of political declarations between the AEI and the PCRM. It depends how decent the Alliance's behavior will be as it should not only remain united, but also improve the democratic behavior standards in this country. The decisions that the Alliance will make before the early elections must be clear for the ordinary people and for Moldova's friends and backers that want to help it overcome the difficulties. If the AEI fulfills these conditions, the political battle postponed for a year would have another results and the impasse would be broken,” the analyst said. Asked about a possible return of the PCRM to power after the early elections, Igor Botan said that if it employed good tactics the PCRM could poll 45% of the vote, but from strategic viewpoint, this party is a loser as is does not have allies. “The PCRM's behavior today shows that this party will have no allies in the future either and thus it is doomed to isolation” said Botan. The analyst said the PCRM will lose ground to the Alliance as it does not have administrative levers, monopoly on the broadcasting sector and international support. Russia showed it was ready to operate with the PDM and its leader Marian Lupu rather than the PCRM. 'This is not a very good sign for the PCRM as the Russian-language speakers in Moldova are very sensible to the relation with Russia. This party will remain strong and worthy, but its influence will gradually diminish,” Igor Botan said.

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