Political scientist Mihai Cernencu says that the most dangerous moment of 2015 was when the military conflict in Ukraine broke out and many analysts feared that instigators would appear in Moldova as well. As regards 2015, Cernecu's main wish is to avoid political crises.
“We'll see how things go from here, but Russia's economic situation caused the delay or cancellation of some projects. Certainly, in 2015 the external agencies will be determinant for Moldova. We'll have elections in Gagauzia, where Russia will try to destabilize the situation. We have a Moldovan party that has no idea of national interest and advocates the federalization of the country. This is an older plan of Russia to divide the country”, said Cernencu.
One of the expert's most important expectations is the implementation of the EU Association Agreement. “I know that over 300 laws have to be adopted and implemented. I would also like a gas pipe from Romania to Chisinau, which would reduce Moldova's dependence on Russian energy. Then I want to see the reform of the prosecutor's office and of the judiciary, a stricter control of judges and their rulings. I want, after many year of talk about the anticorruption fight, to see concrete steps towards the rule of law. Without a real rule of law we can't do any reforms and there will be no investments as long as we can't guarantee their safety”, explained the analyst.
Cernencu hopes that the government coalition remains in the current format, with Iurie Leanca as Prime Minister and Igor Corman as Speaker. He thinks that this formula reduced the conflicts within and between governing parties. “I don't want any crisis that would lead to the fall of the government. This would ruin the country”, he said.
According to him, 2015 should be a year of national cohesion. Inviting the Communists to join the government would likely enlarge the pro-European constituency. 2015 should also be a year of reforms. The political analyst also noted that there will be local elections in 2015 and the type of local administrations throughout the country will depend on the understanding between pro-European parties.