“If a decision to grant the EU candidate status to the Republic of Moldova is taken at the summit of the European Council of June 23-24 in Brussels, Moldovan politics could also collapse into a wormhole as the division of the political class and the voters according to geopolitical criteria - pro-European or pro-Eurasian - would become senseless. We can presume that the Moldovan geopolitics will soon stop existing, as did the announcement of the end of history after the collapse of the Communist system at the end of the 20th century...”
Waiting for European Council’s decision
On June 17, 2022, the European Commission (EC) recommended that the Republic of Moldova should be granted the EU candidate status, alongside Ukraine. Ukraine gained the right to a European perspective on the battlefield, with heavy casualties, of tens of thousands of people, and damage in a war waged by Russia. In this connection, it can be said that the Republic of Moldova is taken by the Ukrainian wave of the European integration.
Anyway, for the European integration process of the Republic of Moldova to take place dynamically and to have an end result, constant consensus is needed, despite any challenge in favor of the European perspective. Currently, we cannot say that there is political consensus on a political subject. On the contrary, the Communist-Socialist opposition challenges the government of the Party of Action and Solidity (PAS) by all ways. The antagonism towards the government is caused by the disorientation of the opposition that is unable to formulate a clear opinion on Russia’s war against Ukraine. The Communist-Socialists do not dare to condemn the Russian aggression as their Eurasian integration policy will this way get ruined instantaneously and they will lose the support of the Russophile voters. The condemnation of the aggression will go against the myth about the exclusive role of liberator of Russia, which would have never started wars. On the other hand, the open support for the aggression will emphasize the hypocrisy of the Communist-Socialists who are against wars in principle, pleading frenetically in favor of the neutrality of the Republic of Moldova.
The Communist-Socialists cannot pronounce on Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and can also not pronounce on the European integration of the Republic of Moldova for the same reason. If they plead in favor, they will stop being promoters of the Eurasian integration in the eyes of the Russophile voters. If they are against, they will show their incoherence somehow. The point is no one else than the Communist leader Vladimir Voronin, when he held office of President, was the one who formalized the European integration policy of the Republic of Moldova and then consented to the signing of the EU-Moldova Action Plan and to the adoption of the Statement of the Parliament of the Republic of Moldova on the political partnership for achieving the European integration objectives and also to the accession to the Eastern Partnership.
We will learn about the possible transformation of the European aspirations of the Republic of Moldova in a process with a real end result at the end of the European Council’s Brussels summit of June 23-24. The heads of state and government of the 27 EU member states are to decide whether to grant the EU candidate status to Ukraine and the Republic of Moldova or not. If the result is positive, the existence of the Communist-Socialist opposition in the current state would be simply useless and will lose the major objective – promotion of the Eurasian integration.
Dreams come true, sometimes...
We must admit that sometimes the Moldovan politicians are visionaries. We saw that after ex-Communist President Vladimir Voronin launched the European integration process, a period of 20 years was needed for the Republic of Moldova to come closer to the obtaining of the EU accession candidate country statues. However, this happened. Currently, to confirm his historic role, Vladimir Voronin could promote his own proposal to insert the compulsoriness of the European integration into the Constitution of the Republic of Moldova, as he promised in the last election campaign, prior to the parliamentary elections of July 11, 2021. If he does what he promised, we will be sure that about ¾ of the political class and, respectively, of the voters accept and support the European integrations. It would be an additional guarantee of the irreversibility of the European integrations course.
The former Socialist President Igor Dodon also does not lack the talent of visionary, but this talent is only partial. As the head of state, at the St. Petersburg Economic Forum of June 1 – 3, 2017, Igor Dodon strongly pleaded in favor of glocalization as a solution against globalization. We now see that in only five years, Russia is being removed from the globalization process and is partially isolated. This thing was confirmed by President Vladimir Putin on June 17, 2022, in the same Forum. We see that Igor Dodon’s pleading in favor of glocalization materialized despite the repeated protest of the Chinese leader Xi Jinping against anti-globalists. Moreover, Igor Dodon himself was recently (g)localized under house arrest, including for the alleged trading of the sovereignty of the Republic of Moldova. It should be noted that in 2017, when he predicted the glocalization, President Igor Dodon told Russian press that the European aspirations of the Republic of Moldova were illusory and there were no chances for the European integration. The EC’s recommendation of June 17 contradicts him. Anyway, the conviction that the Republic of Moldova lacks European chances made Igor Dodon plead in favor of Eurasian integrations or of a balanced foreign policy between the East and the West, which could soon see its end.
Igor Dodon’s skepticism about the European perspectives of the Republic of Moldova wasn’t exclusive. The President of Estonia Kersti Kaljulaid a year ago stated that neither Moldova nor Georgia or Ukraine did something to meet the mandatory Copenhagen criteria for becoming part of the EU, while their implementation will take several light-years. Now we see that it was a rectilinear approach. It we started to speak about cosmic distances, it should be noted that the light-years can be reduced to several ordinary years through the agency of spatial collapses owing to the so-called wormholes. Unexpectedly and curiously, President Vladimir Putin himself appeared in the role of a worm as he, through the war waged against Ukraine, has distorted the space-time continuum that can reduce the light-years to several ordinary years. This is a unique performance. We will soon see if the European Council recognizes Putin’s role of worm by supporting the conclusions of the European Commission.
Fortune favors fools ...?
If a decision to grant the EU candidate status to the Republic of Moldova is taken at the summit of the European Council of June 23-24 in Brussels, Moldovan politics could also collapse into a wormhole as the division of the political class and the voters according to geopolitical criteria - pro-European or pro-Eurasian - would become senseless. We can presume that the Moldovan geopolitics will soon stop existing, as did the announcement of the end of history after the collapse of the Communist system at the end of the 20th century.
The granting of the EU candidate status will necessitate the reformation of the whole political class and the system of parties in the Republic of Moldova. The reformed parties will need to leave geopolitical rhetoric aside in favor of professionalism and competence so as to engage in a competition for coming to power to ensure the meeting of the EU standards in all the 35 chapters that would be negotiated. In this context, seeing the transformation of the Communist-Socialist parties into more pro-European parties than the current declared pro-European parties would be the irony of fate. This would be done to combat the unionist current that also expressed its skepticism about the European perspectives.