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Expert forecasts about political scenarios of this autumn


https://www.ipn.md/index.php/en/expert-forecasts-about-political-scenarios-of-this-autumn-7978_1014239.html

The electoral period of this autumn will be a very short one and will be marked by external challenges and major risks, said experts invited to the program “Fabrika” of Publika TV channel, IPN reports.

According to journalist Valeriu Renita, the developments in autumn will be related more to the foreign factor, with the war in Ukraine being an important factor. The journalists also referred to the internal challenges, making reference to former Communist MP Mark Tkachuk and controversial businessman Renato Usatyi. “Tkachuk now keeps silent, but will return with his rebels when time is opportune. Usatyi also expressed his aggressiveness when he said that he will besiege the Ministry of Justice. Probably somebody advised him to calm down, after advising him to make aggressive statements. But it’s not known what advice he will yet get,” stated Renita.

Politologist Olga Nicolenco also believes that the schemes in the election campaign will depend on the foreign relations. The current government during four years didn’t do what it should and woke up only a year ago. “The people had great expectations when they voted for this government. In fact, I must admit that the visa regime and the ratification of the Association Agreement with the EU generated a little hope,” she said.

The politologist advised the ruling parties to take part in the November 30 parliamentary elections in a bloc and then to govern by a coalition after scoring a nice victory.

Doru Petruti, director of the Marketing and Polling Institute IMAS, said there are a number of circumstances that will determine the harshness of the future election campaign. “It’s one thing to have an election campaign in a peaceful year and it’s another thing to have an election campaign in the conditions of a regional war,” stated Petruti. He considers that the people themselves are a risk factor. “The critical mass of the population is not educated to analyze things. The Moldovan citizens have the syndrome of the fish in an aquarium. Even if they know that the wall is made of glass, they anyway collide with it,” he added.

The program’s permanent invitee, journalist Cristian Tabara said the future election campaign will be dominated by two large blocs. The first will be backed by the EU and the U.S., while the second will be the eastern bloc that will be very aggressive. In the middle there are the voters who are not yet ready to weigh the pluses and minuses of the two options.